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Alright folks, that’s it. Florida has finally officially gone to Rick Scott. Whatever happens in Nevada and Arizona happens. I’m sure we’ll have more tomorrow. See ya in 2020.
It’s getting late. Montana is over. Jon Tester and the democrats will hold that seat. Arizona is very close with Republican Martha McSally with a small lead. Just waiting on that and Nevada. Honestly doesn’t matter at this point.
In local news, State Senator Ryan Fattman has defended his seat against blowjob in the park Tom Merolli. If you’re gonna run for State Senate and you really must have a blowjob, you should always pay $60 for a cheap motel.
President Trump has weighed in on the night. Hard to say it’s a huge success since they lost the house. They definitely did better than expected though, and it reaffirmed that he will win in 2020 if this keeps up.
Tremendous success tonight. Thank you to all!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 7, 2018
For those of you still up, Stabinow is going to hold of John James in Michigan, as she should. Jon Tester looks like he will hold his seat in Montana as well. Democrats still stuck on 4 lost seats thus far – Heitkamp, McCaskill, Donnelly, Nelson. They still have chances to take Republican seats in Arizona and Nevada. At best it will be 53-47 Republican at the end of the night. At worst 55-45.
As expected, none of the Massachusetts ballot initatives were close. No on question 1 is at 70%, and Yes is overwhelming on 2 and 3. We didn’t take an official position on 1, but as time went on it became clear that No was likely the better option.
Over 99% of the votes in Florida are in. Both Gillum and Nelson are down 2%. CNN still will not call it.
In the least shocking news ever Maura Healey will be re-elected. She’s at 70% right now. I know some turtle riders are living in a bubble where they think people like her and Pocahontas are unpopular, but they fail to realize just how stupid voters are in Massachusetts.
“When they talk about women of color running for office, it’s not just a glass ceiling, it’s a concrete ceiling.”
Bitch, you just won by 60%. You had the support of every major democrat in this state and represent the only majority minority district in Massachusetts. You overcame NOTHING to win this. Absolutely NOTHING.
Ayanna Pressley is giving her victory speech right now. Never heard her speak before. She is just as bad as Elizabeth Warren. All she’s talking about is how she’s black and female. It’s almost like identity politics is all their side seems to offer.
Jim Acosta from CNN is trying so hard to turn tonight into a positive. Everyone knew the democrats were supposed to take the house.
When the House (but not Senate) went to GOP under Obama in 2010, it was a big deal. If it switches back under Trump, also a big deal. You can call it a wave, a ripple or whatever. In fact, NYT called it a "wave" for GOP in 2010 https://t.co/suVub5mTtM
— Jim Acosta (@Acosta) November 7, 2018
Breaking News – Incumbent Democratic Missouri Senator Claire McCaskill has lost. She is currently down 20 points to Josh Hawley. What an absolute nightmare.
Montana is starting to come in, and Democrat Jon Tester is up by 20% right now. He’s the incumbent and very popular because he plays the right angles. If you want to get moderate republicans to vote for you just tell them they can have their guns and you want to keep Washington out of their business.
99% of votes are in in Florida and Gillum and Nelson are losing by margins that they cannot mathematically make up. Yet CNN refuses to call it. It’s amazing to watch them deny reality. At least we admitted Pocahontas would win.
North Dakota Democratic incumbent Senator Heidi Heitkamp was just declared the loser. She’s down 58-41% right now. That is an insane number for an incumbent. She was even in the polls before Kavanaugh hearings but decided to vote against him. What a fucking moron. These people deserve to lose so badly.
The next time you hear a democrat whining about money in politics, just reference this stat:
Lavvorn raised just $36,000 for her campaign, a majority of which came from her own pocket. McGovern raised over $1 million.
Jim McGovern has been declared the winner in Massachusetts 2nd congressional district over challenger Tracy Lovvorn. Good for her for putting up a fight though. It’s been a long time. We like Tracy.
U.S. Rep. Jim McGovern declares victory over Republican challenger Tracy Lovvorn https://t.co/PvxGbF5Kpi
— Western MA News (@WesternMAnews) November 7, 2018
ABC just called Ted Cruz as the winner of Texas. He’s up by 3% of the vote. Too close for comfort, but yet another loss for democrats. Beto was what they were clinging to. Now they only have Sinema and Jackie Rosen in Nevada.
CNN finally called the House for democrats. They’re likely not going to have enough of a majority to impeach Trump though.
This is just sad man. You can do ANYTHING in Massachusetts if you are a democrat. And I mean ANYTHING. The fact that this corrupt piece of shit and Michelle Dubois will both likely win, along with Pocahontas, is indicative of just how out of touch our state is.
— masslivenews (@masslivenews) November 7, 2018
We didn’t even put Democratic Michigan Senator Debbie Stabinow in our prediction blog because that election was supposed to be a done deal. Her Republican challenger John James is winning. It’s still early, but this is the second election in a row in which the polls were fucked up in this state. Polls matter. Just not in Michigan. Good God, if Republican won this it would be orgasmic. John James is also black, which would just destroy Democrats mentally.
Republicans already flipped a senate seat in nearby Indiana pic.twitter.com/bIOffUxNZu
— Tyler Clifford (@_TylerTheTyler_) November 7, 2018
Only in Massachusetts could an idiot like this get elected.
Early results show Michelle DuBois up by about 1,700 votes in the 10th Plymouth pic.twitter.com/H1j793GHoq
— Josie Albertson-Grove (@josie_ent) November 7, 2018
Martha McSally (R) was supposed to be a coin flip for Senate in Arizona with Krysten Sinema. The Vegas odds are now overwhelmingly in McSally’s favor. Vegas doesn’t give money away. Would be another bad loss for democrats.
It’s very confusing how CNN hasn’t called the House for democrats but Fox News did 30 minutes ago. My theory is that Fox News needs a villain. When your team wins all the time sometimes you have to pretend the other team is winning to stay motivated.
Stacy Abrams, the democratic candidate for Governor in Georgia, was supposed to be a tossup. She is getting killed. The blue wave was the biggest lie of all time. Yes, they’re going to take the House, but they should’ve done that and done it by a lot.
Breaking news – brave but very stupid woman ventures onto Clarence Woods Emerson Facebook page.
Fox News just polled a bunch of Missouri voters in a bar. The two issues that mattered the most for them – healthy economy and Kavanaugh. Perhaps Democrats should stop trying to lose.
Votes are pouring in from Missouri, and incumbent democrat Claire McCaskill is getting murdered by Josh Hawley with 20% reporting 59-38%. This would be the third democratic seat lost tonight, and they will almost definitely lose North Dakota too.
People blaming Turtleboy and people like us for voting for Shiva have to be the stupidest fucking people on the Internet. I can’t take them anymore. She’s going to get over 55% of the vote you simple minded idiots. You can’t beat 55%!! Kill me now.
Shocker – Fox News just declared the House of Representatives for the Democrats. This is shocking, as it was a coin flip just 15 minutes ago. I have no clue how the hell they predict this many races, but Fox News wouldn’t declare the democrats winners if they weren’t 100% sure. Bad news for Republicans and Trump.
Tonight is a night we really wish we had a Twitter account. Kind of fucked up since we’re a news outlet and all, but it’s great watching these tears roll in.
Beto continues to be the only bright stop for democrats tonight. I’d give him a 40% chance of winning right now as big votes are still supposed to come in from Houston, and it’s currently dead even. Would be a huge upset.
Republican Marsha Blackburn, who was behind in the polls in Tennessee before the Kavanaugh disaster, just won easily in Tennessee, despite Taylor Swift endorsing her opponent. This was a Republican seat to keep so there is no net gain here, but it was one the democrats needed. I can’t stop laughing at them right now. Not only are they getting destroyed right now, but Kavanaugh ended up getting on anyway. God they’re stupid.
In Massachusetts news, Kate Campanale’s Republican House of Reps seat in Leicester/Worcester has been lost to democrat David LaBoeuf, who beat Worcester firefighter Paul Fullen. Let that be a lesson for the right – you can’t go radical right and hope to win in this state.
Reality is starting to kick in for Beto. Ted Cruz just passed the great white hope and the red counties are starting to roll in.
CNN is so pathetic. They just said that Joe Manchin’s win in West Virginia was supposed to be a tossup. He was up 10 points in the polls and deserved to win. They will do anything to try to find a silver lining right now.
Remember David Hogg? I thought they young people would change everything?
Breaking News: Turtleboy is officially calling Florida for Rick Scott. With 96% of the vote in, he leads by almost 1%, which is significant with that many votes in. This is the second seat, along with Indiana, that democrats have lost tonight. This night couldn’t possibly be going any worse. Trump is so hard right now.
Two big Florida congress races just went to Republicans in districts that were predicted to go democrat. This is turning into 2016 all over again. What. A. Disaster .
Democrat Bob Menendez has won re-election in New Jersey. This was a seat the democrats should’ve won comfortably but was in danger because Menendez is top 5 shadiest dudes in Washington.
Eight minutes after we declared Indiana for Mike Braun, so too has the AP. It’s official – the democrats have lost a seat. The blue wave was a fiction of your imagination in the Hoosier state. Losing this seat makes it mathematically impossible for the democrats to take the Senate, which was a long shot to begin with.
Joe Manchin, the only democrat who voted for Kavanaugh’s confirmation, is comfortably ahead by 10% with half the precincts reporting in West Virginia, a state that Trump won by 40. It’s almost like voting for Kavanaugh was a no-brainer smart move and anyone who didn’t is a dumbass.
With 50% of Indiana votes in, Mike Braun leads Joe Donnelly 54-42%. We officially declare this race for Braun. If Donnelly had ANY balls he would’ve voted for confirm Kavanaugh and he would’ve retained his seat. Going after Kavanaugh like they did will go down as quite possibly the DUMBEST FUCKING MOVE of all time.
At the beginning of the night Nate Silver’s 538.com had the Democrats with a 6 in 7 chance (over 80%) to take the house. That’s down to 4 in 7. Keep in mind, this is a left leaning website. I would definitely classify this as bad news for democrats. Only thing they have going for them right now is Beto.
Democrats bounce back a bit on the 538 real time forecast… now back to being favored to take the House.
GOP drops to just a 2 seat pickup in the Senate.
Still worse than Dems were hoping for this morning and very volatile early.
Buckle up – it's gonna get nuts! pic.twitter.com/hkGvfBLjJa
— Josh Jordan (@NumbersMuncher) November 7, 2018
The House races are impossible to keep track of. There are 435 seats up for grabs compared to 33 in the Senate. No way we can make any calls on the house yet. But if it’s anything like the way Florida has been trending then the blue wave is in doubt.
Beto O’Rourke is leading in Texas with over 40% of the vote now reporting. However, it’s mostly from urban areas. Still, a lot closer than we imagined this race would be. If Beto wins it will be VERY bad news for the Republicans over all. He is one of the only democrats that has a shot at winning in 2020.
I love watching CNN on election night because I know how biased they are. They desperately want to see a huge swing for Gillum and Nelson in these last few counties. Keep in mind, Scott and Desantis were 2-3 points behind in the polls. It’s normal for polls to be off by 2-3%. When you’re down 25% in the polls you don’t come back from that. Act like you’ve actually paid attention to an election before Diehl diehards.
With 93% of the vote in in Florida Andrew Gillum is now losing by 35,000 votes for Florida Governor. Keeps getting worse for democrats. Better hope the dead people votes start coming in.
Rick Scott just took the lead with 90% reporting in Florida Senate race. If he wins, and Mike Braun holds on to beat Joe Donnelly in Indiana, this is going to be a DISASTROUS night for democrats. This is punishment for Kavanaugh. Dumbest move ever.
Everyone at CNN just came so hard after Beto O’Rourke was up 20% with 7% reporting. This is the definition of fake news. All of those votes were from Dallas, a very liberal area. Try to make your bias more obvious. You can’t.
Andrew Gillum just got passed for governor in Florida. Bad news for democrats.
With 82% of the vote in Florida reported, and the Republican counties starting to roll in, both Ron Desantis and Rick Scott made big strides. They’re both within 1%.
Charlie Baker is declared the winner of the governor’s election. Amazing that this clown is actually more popular than Pocahontas in the most liberal state in the country. Tells you a lot about him.
Joe Donnelly in Indiana is getting MURDERED 55-40% in Indiana right now. Only 35% of the votes are in, but that’s a pretty significant number. That was supposed to be a tossup. Not a good sign for democrats in Trump states.
Sheldon Squarepants Whitehouse is now declared the winner in Rhode Island. He’s gonna be boofing it up tonight.
Elizabeth Warren has been declared the winner in Massachusetts. Where’s all the people at who said Geoff Diehl had a shot?
Today’s election day, and we’re gonna be doing a live blog as the votes start coming in. We’re gonna be following state and federal election results as they come in with live predictions. We were the first media outlet to officially call Trump the winner in 2016, so if you’re not following along you’re gonna be way behind on the news. Just sayin.
Obviously a lot is on the line nationally as the Republicans are in serious risk of losing the House of Representatives, and not so serious risk of losing the Senate. As an election guru Turtleboy gives the democrats a 75% chance of taking the House, which should set up for a close one. The Senate sits 51-49 and the Turtleboy bold prediction is that it will end up 54-46 Republican.
Senate seats being defended by Republicans:
Nevada: Dean Heller vs. Democrat Jackie Rosen
Tennessee: Marsha Blackburn vs. Democrat Phil Brededsen
Texas: Ted Cruz vs. Democrat Beto O’Rourke
Arizona: Martha McSally vs. Krysten Sinema
Blackburn and Cruz will win easily. Nevada and Arizona are coin tosses. We predict both will go Republican.
Senate seats being defended by Democrats
Florida: Bill Nelson vs. Republican Rick Scott
North Dakota: Heidi Heitkamp vs. Republican Kevin Cramer
Montana: Jon Tester vs. Republican Matt Rosendale
Missouri: Claire McCaskill vs. Republican Josh Hawley
Indiana: Joe Donnelly vs. Republican Mike Braun
New Jersey: Bob Menendez vs. Republican Bob Hugin
Menendez should win easily, and Jon Tester is fairly safe because the only thing people in Montana care about are keeping Washington out of Montana, and he checks the right boxes.
I think Bill Nelson’s gonna win in a close one because Marco Rubio is also a Senator in Florida, and these swing states like to have one of each in the Senate.
Heidi Heitkamp is going to get destroyed, which is a big loss for the democrats, and would mean they’d need to not only win the rest of the democrat seats, but take 3 of the Republican seats to take back the Senate.
Missouri and Indiana are tossups. Turtleboy predicts both will go to the Republicans.
Why? This guy:
People haven’t forgotten about that shit. And Missouri, North Dakota, Montana, and Indiana are all heavy Trump states. All four of those democrats voted against Kavanaugh because they thought his high school yearbook meant he was a gang rapist. Not a single democrat voted for Kavanaugh. Every single one of them rejected the idea of innocence until proven guilty. We will never, ever, ever forget what they did to that innocent man. We’ll see if the voters make them pay tonight.